Monday, March 23, 2020

Interesting Interview on Coronavirus Trajectories



Amy Gunia (March 23, 2020) Will the Coronavirus Ever Go Away? Here's What One of the WHO's Top Experts Thinks. Time, Available Yahoo: https://www.yahoo.com/news/coronavirus-ever-away-heres-one-094824995.html

...What do you think the coronavirus pandemic will look like six months from now?

I expect we will be emerging—still with disease in various parts of the world—but we should be emerging from a bad wave of this disease across a large swathe of the planet. The challenge is we’re going to be back into the flu season. And one of the big questions is, are we going to see a surge of it again at that period?

Looking further into the future, what do you anticipate? Will COVID-19 ever disappear?

... Are we going to get into a period of cyclical waves? Or are we going to end up with low level endemic disease that we have to deal with? Most people believe that that first scenario where this might disappear completely is very, very unlikely, it just transmits too easily in the human population, so more likely waves or low level disease.



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