Wednesday, February 5, 2020

Trump Administration Issues Public Health Emergency - Is Coronavirus a Black Swan?


President Trump has declared a public health emergency to address the coronavirus:
Allison Aubrey (2020, January 31). Trump Declares Coronavirus A Public Health Emergency And Restricts Travel From China. NPR, https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2020/01/31/801686524/trump-declares-coronavirus-a-public-health-emergency-and-restricts-travel-from-c

You can read about public health emergencies and how they are called here:

https://www.phe.gov/Preparedness/legal/Pages/phedeclaration.aspx



You can read the Journal of American Medicine's analysis of the challenge of global health governance of the virus here:
Phelan AL, Katz R, Gostin LO. The Novel Coronavirus Originating in Wuhan, China: Challenges for Global Health Governance. JAMA. Published online January 30, 2020. doi:10.1001/jama.2020.1097
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2760500?guestAccessKey=7195d348-9459-414b-895f-09ef9c28be70&utm_content=weekly_highlights&utm_term=020120&utm_source=silverchair&utm_campaign=jama_network&cmp=1&utm_medium=email
You can read an interesting risk analysis by Nicholas Taleb and colleagues here:
Systemic Risk of Pandemic via Novel Pathogens – Coronavirus: A Note (2020).
Joseph Norman, Yaneer Bar-Yam, Nassim Nicholas Taleb,‡
New England Complex Systems Institute, School of Engineering, New York University Universa Investments
 https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5b68a4e4a2772c2a206180a1/t/5e2efaa2ff2cf27efbe8fc91/1580137123173/Systemic_Risk_of_Pandemic_via_Novel_Path.pdf
FYI I am at ASU and have heard of NO coronavirus transmissions at the university despite the fact that one student was diagnosed with the virus.

UPDATE - Harvard Expert Expects Coronavirus to worsen but we are still not seeing any reported case beyond initial ones here...

Coronavirus likely now ‘gathering steam’

3 comments:

  1. Thank you Weez. I share your concern about the lack of transparency regarding this virus, as illustrated here:
    https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/whistleblower-chinese-doctor-dies-coronavirus-155553261.html

    The good news is that the infection rate in China does not appear to be replicating so high elsewhere

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  2. This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

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