Wednesday, February 5, 2020

Trump Administration Issues Public Health Emergency - Is Coronavirus a Black Swan?

President Trump has declared a public health emergency to address the coronavirus:
Allison Aubrey (2020, January 31). Trump Declares Coronavirus A Public Health Emergency And Restricts Travel From China. NPR,

You can read about public health emergencies and how they are called here:

You can read the Journal of American Medicine's analysis of the challenge of global health governance of the virus here:
Phelan AL, Katz R, Gostin LO. The Novel Coronavirus Originating in Wuhan, China: Challenges for Global Health Governance. JAMA. Published online January 30, 2020. doi:10.1001/jama.2020.1097
You can read an interesting risk analysis by Nicholas Taleb and colleagues here:
Systemic Risk of Pandemic via Novel Pathogens – Coronavirus: A Note (2020).
Joseph Norman, Yaneer Bar-Yam, Nassim Nicholas Taleb,‡
New England Complex Systems Institute, School of Engineering, New York University Universa Investments
FYI I am at ASU and have heard of NO coronavirus transmissions at the university despite the fact that one student was diagnosed with the virus.

UPDATE - Harvard Expert Expects Coronavirus to worsen but we are still not seeing any reported case beyond initial ones here...

Coronavirus likely now ‘gathering steam’


  1. Thank you Weez. I share your concern about the lack of transparency regarding this virus, as illustrated here:

    The good news is that the infection rate in China does not appear to be replicating so high elsewhere

  2. This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.


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