Wednesday, February 5, 2020

Trump Administration Issues Public Health Emergency - Is Coronavirus a Black Swan?


President Trump has declared a public health emergency to address the coronavirus:
Allison Aubrey (2020, January 31). Trump Declares Coronavirus A Public Health Emergency And Restricts Travel From China. NPR, https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2020/01/31/801686524/trump-declares-coronavirus-a-public-health-emergency-and-restricts-travel-from-c

You can read about public health emergencies and how they are called here:

https://www.phe.gov/Preparedness/legal/Pages/phedeclaration.aspx



You can read the Journal of American Medicine's analysis of the challenge of global health governance of the virus here:
Phelan AL, Katz R, Gostin LO. The Novel Coronavirus Originating in Wuhan, China: Challenges for Global Health Governance. JAMA. Published online January 30, 2020. doi:10.1001/jama.2020.1097
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2760500?guestAccessKey=7195d348-9459-414b-895f-09ef9c28be70&utm_content=weekly_highlights&utm_term=020120&utm_source=silverchair&utm_campaign=jama_network&cmp=1&utm_medium=email
You can read an interesting risk analysis by Nicholas Taleb and colleagues here:
Systemic Risk of Pandemic via Novel Pathogens – Coronavirus: A Note (2020).
Joseph Norman, Yaneer Bar-Yam, Nassim Nicholas Taleb,‡
New England Complex Systems Institute, School of Engineering, New York University Universa Investments
 https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5b68a4e4a2772c2a206180a1/t/5e2efaa2ff2cf27efbe8fc91/1580137123173/Systemic_Risk_of_Pandemic_via_Novel_Path.pdf
FYI I am at ASU and have heard of NO coronavirus transmissions at the university despite the fact that one student was diagnosed with the virus.

UPDATE - Harvard Expert Expects Coronavirus to worsen but we are still not seeing any reported case beyond initial ones here...

Coronavirus likely now ‘gathering steam’

4 comments:

  1. Wow, thanks Majia, for the info about the one student at your university. The authorities will not tell us anything is wrong, and we will not know it is here until we see people falling down dead in front of us. The governments did the same thing during the 1918-20 Spanish Flu virus. The Fed is pumping money into the stock market to keep it propped up. I ordered 10 face masks from Amazon, and I was sent only 1. When I submitted a comment to Amazon, they didn't print it.

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  2. Thank you Weez. I share your concern about the lack of transparency regarding this virus, as illustrated here:
    https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/whistleblower-chinese-doctor-dies-coronavirus-155553261.html

    The good news is that the infection rate in China does not appear to be replicating so high elsewhere

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  3. This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

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  4. https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/one-of-the-best-bob-dole-lauds-trump-for-home-run-state-of-the-union

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    Donald Trump is strengthening our nuclear arsenal, to prevent Nuclear attacks in an ever-increasing hostile world.
    Donald Trump is the greatest and, most loyal president in American History. He is unbeatable.

    ReplyDelete

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