Monday, May 25, 2015

Emissions Trends May 2015, May 2012

This was a busy week with graduations and I’ve had less time than usual to post.

I’ve been watching the webcams, but emissions over the last week were lower they were in late April 2015 (first link) and early May (2015), when I saw the boat offshore here (second link):

Bobby1’s blog, Optimal Prediction, documents that Iodine-131 levels spiked in early May 2015. Although its possible cancer patients’ I-131 therapy could be responsible, I wonder whether it was Fukushima’s restless, melted-fuel because the spike coincides with webcam watchers’ observations and concerns about elevated radiation levels.

Unfortunately, the webcam discussion forum at Enenews was disrupted by technological malfunctions and our observations were not as systematically recorded as usual, although a motivated reader could perhaps reconstruct the discussion threads by the date/time stamp.

I’m glad I recorded my observations on my blog.

The correlation between (1) webcam watchers’ observations of emission events and (2) spiking iodine-131 levels in sewage sludge is probably the best evidence of ongoing criticality events available to the rank and file observers of the Fukushima disaster.

Physicists and nuclear engineers express doubt that the fuel could have the geometry necessary for critical chains. But they’ve been wrong before, as Fukushima and the many other nuclear “mishaps” aptly illustrate.

Bobby’s chart of Iodine-131 detections, which he has maintained across time, indicates that there was also a spike in May 2012. I've included part of Bobby's chart. Please see the entire chart at the link below:

I thought it would be interesting to match the spikes in iodine-131 detections in Gunma mapped by Bobby with my blog posts from that period in May 2012. Here is what I found:
Majia's blog Wednesday, May 2, 2012

By May 2012 public alarm about the condition of nuclear plants in Japan was rising. A report titled “Lessons From Fukushima Dai-ichi ” issued October 28, 2011 by BBT University President asserted that fourteen nuclear reactors in Japan were extensively damaged by the earthquake. Reports of fires and radiological water spills at the reactors in Tokai lent support to concerns about widespread damage to nuclear reactors in Japan. However, the greatest concern remains the Fukushima Dai-ichi plant. Conditions at the Fukushima Daiichi plant appeared to be deteriorating, based on webcam-documented massive steam and smoke emissions around reactors 3 and 4. Massive steam and smoke releases occurred at the plant on May 1 and May 2....
This entry from May 2, 2012 documents that webcam watchers saw heavy smoke and steam during a time period wherein high iodine-131 levels were detected.

Jumping back to the present: Unfortunately, it appears that emissions are back up today after trending downward after the spike in early May 2015. (no rain visible on Futaba cam)

Fukushima's restless melted-fuel pulses and wanes, producing peaks and troughs of emissions. In early May 2015 we reached a peak, followed by a trough mid-May. Now levels are rising again on the webcam and Iodine-131 levels are spiking as well.

Welcome to a radioactive Earth.

1 comment:

  1. Your May 2012 observation preceded my 2-day bout of amnesia by a few days. That was probably the strangest symptom I had since Fuku started. Those days just vanished like they never existed. I wonder what the hell was in those emissions.