Monday, September 19, 2011

BIASED ARTICLE ON FUKUSHIMA RADIATION AND MORTALITY FROM THE BULLETON OF ATOMIC SCIENTISTS


The Bulletin of Atomic Scientists has a special issue on Fukusima.

http://bos.sagepub.com/content/current

I am very concerned about the INCORRECT AND QUESTIONABLE DATA found in one of these articles:

The radiological and psychological consequences of the Fukushima Daiichi accident Frank N. von Hippel Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists September 2011 67: 27-36,
http://bos.sagepub.com/content/current

The ABSTRACT begins: The release of radioactivity into the atmosphere from the Fukushima Daiichi accident has been estimated by Japan’s government as about one-tenth of that from the Chernobyl accident

The article estimates 1,000 fatalities only from Fukushima.

one might expect around 1,000 extra cancer deaths related to the Fukushima Daiichi accident, that is, a 0.1 percent incidence rate. This is much less than the direct toll—about 20,000—from the earthquake and tsunami that caused the accident…”

MAJIA HERE: THESE ESTIMATES OF CANCER RATES AND RADIATION RELEASES ARE BASED ON FAULTY DATA AND FAULTY REASONING.

THE AUTHOR ESTIMATES RADIATION RELEASED USING THE NOW DATED JAPANESE GOVERNMENT’S REPORT ISSUED JUNE 2011.

THIS IS THE SOURCE CITATION GIVEN BY THE ARTICLE FOR RADIATION RELEASED

Source: Japanese government, 2011: VI-1.1 Japanese government (2011) Report of Japanese

Government to the IAEA Ministerial Conference on Nuclear Safety: The Accident at TEPCOÕs Fukushima Nuclear Power Stations. Available at: http://www.kantei.go.jp/foreign/kan/topics/201106/iaea_houkokusho_e.html.

MAJIA HERE: ARTICLE'S DATA ON RELEASES ARE DATED-New Information Is Available. Here is how the article attributes its source when describing estimates of radiation released:  

“Table 1. The Japanese government’s estimates of the releases into the atmosphere from the 2011 Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station accident compared with the estimates from the 1986 Chernobyl accident, in millions of curies Estimated releases of radioactivity to the atmosphere from Fukushima Daiichi Estimated releases of radioactivity from fukushima and Chernobyl”

Fukushima                                 Chernobyl

cesium-137  0.41                              2.3

iodine-131    4.3                                50

MAJIA HERE: THE JAPANESE GOVERNMENT HAS SINCE REVISED INFORMATION

PLUS RADIATION HAS BEEN EMITTED CONTINOUSLY SINCE JUNE AND CONTINUES ON TODAY

FURTHERMORE, THE MAP USED BY THE AUTHOR IN THE ARTICLE TO REPRESENT RADIATION CONTAMINATION IS FROM AN APRIL 18 DEPT OF DEFENSE MAP


CITATION IN THE ARTICLE FROM DOD APRIL REPORT

US Department of Energy (2011) Radiological assessment of effects from Fukushima Daiichi
Nuclear Power Plant. Available at: http:// www.slideshare.net/energy/radiation-monitoringdata-
from-fukushima-area-04182011

THE GRANT FOR THIS ARTICLE WAS MADE AVAILABLE BY THE ROCKEFELLER FINANCIAL SERVICES

“This article is part of a special issue on the disaster that occurred at the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station in March 2011. Additional editorial and translation services for this issue were made possible by a grant from Rockefeller Financial Services.”

THE ARTICLE'S AUTHOR INFORMATION
"Frank N. von Hippel is a co-founder of the Program on Science and Global Security at Princeton UniversityÕs Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, a co-chair of the International Panel on Fissile Materials, and a member of the BulletinÕs Board of Sponsors. A former assistant director for national security in the White House Office of Science and Technology, von HippelÕs areas of policy research include nuclear arms control and nonproliferation, energy, and checks and balances in policy making for technology."

MAJIA HERE: THE ARTICLE IS BIASED AND SYSTEMATICALLY UNDER-ESTIMATES RADIATION RELEASES AND FATALITIES
ALTERNATIVE DATA SUPPORTING MY ARGUMENT THAT THE RELEASES WERE MUCH GRATER THAN REPRESENTED

Japan Times reported on August 27 that Fukushima’s “Cesium Leak Equal to 168 '45 A-Bombs.”[i] As of September 2011, the situation at Fukushima continues to worsen. Dr. Chris Busby reported on the Russian television network RT on August 17 that air filters from Tokyo are showing levels of Cesium-137 that are 1000 times higher than the levels of that radionuclide found in the air at the peak of atmospheric atomic weapons testing in 1963.[ii] Busby also stated that plant emissions were reported to the Japanese Prime Minister by Tepco to be 10 to the 13 becquerels per hour.[iii] Likewise, during an interview with Dr. Helen Caldicott, broadcasted online in September of 2011, Arnie Gunderson stated that he had been told that Fukushima was currently emitting a gigabecquerel per day (gigabecquerel or GBq 109 Bq), in radiation, which he described as over 2 billion decays per second a day.[iv] This radiation is contaminating Japan and the entire northern hemisphere as it is swept away by the Jet Stream. The latest data from Japan as of September 2011 has found 2,000 square kilometers to have radiation contamination levels at or in excess of 1 microsievert per hour at a measured height of .5 o 1.0 meter,[v] leading an annual external exposure rate of 8.76 millisieverts from soil contamination alone.
[1]           “Cesium Leak Equal to 168 '45 A-Bombs: NISA Compares Contamination to Hiroshima Blast,” Japan Times (2011, August 27): http://search.japantimes.co.jp/cgi-bin/nn20110827x3.html.

[2]           Dr. Christopher Busby interviewed by Russia Today (RT) and uploaded to YouTube “Christopher Busby: Chernobyl-like radiation found in Tokyo,” [RussiaToday] YouTube (uploaded 2011, August 17): http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XNzDg4O9dkw.
[3]           Ibid

[4]           Helen Caldicott interviews Arnie Gunderson: “Arnold Gundersen with a Fukushima update,” If You Love This Planet (2011, September): http://ifyoulovethisplanet.org/?p=4952.

 [1]           “Up to 1/7 of Fukushima May Be Contaminated,” Mainichi (2011, September 15): http://mdn.mainichi.jp/mdnnews/news/20110915p2g00m0dm114000c.html.

MORE ALTERNATIVE DATA

Al Jazeera's Steve Chao reports from the Japanese capital of Tokyo.
 “At least one billion becquerels a day of radiation continue to leak from Japan's Fukushima nuclear plant after the March earthquake and tsunami.”

“Experts say that the total amount of radiation leaked will exceed amounts released from Chernobyl, making Fukushima the worst nuclear disaster in history.”


ALTERNATIVE DATA
“Japan Misstated radiation”  The Wall Street Journal Sep 9, 2011 p. A14.

“The Japanese government initially underestimated radiation releases from the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant, in part because of untimely rain, and so exposed people unnecessarily, a report released this week by a government research institute says”
ALTERNATIVE DATA

“Sea Radiation From Fukushima Seen Triple Tepco Estimates” Reuters Sep 9 2011 http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/09/09/us-japan-tepco-idUSTRE7882E720110909
TOKYO (Reuters) - Radioactive material released into the sea in the Fukushima nuclear power plant crisis is more than triple the amount estimated by plant operator Tokyo Electric Power Co, Japanese researchers say.
Japan's biggest utility estimated around 4,720 trillion becquerels of cesium-137 and iodine-131 was released into the Pacific Ocean between March 21 and April 30, but researchers at the Japan Atomic Energy Agency (JAEA) put the amount 15,000 trillion becquerels, or terabecquerels.

Government regulations ban shipment of foodstuff containing over 500 becquerels of radioactive material per kg. Takuya Kobayashi, a researcher at the agency, said on Friday the difference in figures was probably because his team measured airborne radioactive material that fell into the ocean in addition to material from contaminated water that leaked from the plant.

He believed Tepco excluded radiation that originally came from airborne material. The report does not include cesium-134 as the research group initially lacked resources to measure it, meaning the amount of estimated radioactive material will increase with further calculations…"

ALTERNATIVE DATA
Understanding the Ongoing Nuclear Disaster in Fukushima: A “Two-Headed Dragon” Descends into the Earth’s Biosphere. The Japanese original text is available http://japanfocus.org/-Fujioka-Atsushi/3599
Fujioka Atsushi Translated by Michael K. Bourdaghs

“The amount of radioactivity emitted to the outside world by the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Plant is said to be 775,000 terabecquerels. This amounts to a radiation leak equivalent to the detonation of sixty Hiroshima-class, or 39 Nagasaki-class, nuclear bombs.”

ALTERNATIVE DATA
Fukushima is Worse than Chernobyl – on Global Contamination Partial Japanese Text here Asia pacific Journal http://japanfocus.org/-Chris-Busby/3563

2011, july 8 Chris Busby Interview by Norimatsu Satoko and Narusawa Muneo

"Fukushima disaster involved a lot more material than Chernobyl where only 200 tons of fuel was involved.

"I believe that in the explosions at Fukushima Daiichi, huge amounts of spent fuel were blown sky high. The ground contamination out to 100 km at Fukushima is worse than Chernobyl, the dose rates higher. And Fukushima has contaminated Tokyo with 35 million people. The population of the 200 km radius is also enormous, about 10 million. Most of the Chernobyl stuff fell away from big population centers. Luckily it went north and west and not to Kiev which is south. Fukushima is still boiling its radionuclides all over Japan. Chernobyl went up in one go. So Fukushima is worse…."

 "…Busby has estimated that within 100 km of Fukushima Daiichi, approximately 200,000 excess cancers will occur within the next 50 years with about half of them diagnosed in the next 10 years, if the 3.3 million people in the area remain there for one year. He estimates over 220,000 excess cancers in the 7.9 million people from 100 to 200 km in the next 50 years, also with about half of them to be diagnosed in the next 10 years. By contrast, the ICRP model predicts 2,838 extra cancers in the 100 km population..."

ALTERNATIVE DATA

Fukushima radiation alarms doctors: Jpanese Doctors Warn of Public  Health problems caused by Fukushima radiation
Dahr Jamail Last Modified: 18 Aug 2011 14:09


…"How much radioactive materials have been released from the plant?" asked Dr Tatsuhiko Kodama, a professor at the Research Centre for Advanced Science and Technology and Director of the University of Tokyo's Radioisotope Centre, in a July 27 speech to the Committee of Health, Labour and Welfare at Japan's House of Representatives.

"The government and TEPCO have not reported the total amount of the released radioactivity yet," said Kodama, who believes things are far worse than even the recent detection of extremely high radiation levels at the plant.


"There is widespread concern in Japan about a general lack of government monitoring for radiation, which has caused people to begin their own independent monitoring, which are also finding disturbingly high levels of radiation.



"Kodama's centre, using 27 facilities to measure radiation across the country, has been closely monitoring the situation at Fukushima - and their findings are alarming.

"According to Dr Kodama, the total amount of radiation released over a period of more than five months from the ongoing Fukushima nuclear disaster is the equivalent to more than 29 "Hiroshima-type atomic bombs" and the amount of uranium released "is equivalent to 20" Hiroshima bombs.



ALTERNATIVE DATA
From Kilotons to Millisieverts: Japan’s Nuclear Legacy. August 9 2011 Truth Dig. Amy Goodman


“In recent weeks, radiation levels have spiked at the Fukushima nuclear power reactors in Japan, with recorded levels of 10,000 millisieverts per hour (mSv/hr) at one spot. This is the number reported by the reactor’s discredited owner, Tokyo Electric Power Co., although that number is simply as high as the Geiger counters go. In other words, the radiation levels are literally off the charts. Exposure to 10,000 millisieverts for even a brief time would be fatal, with death occurring within weeks…”

ALTERNATIVE DATA
Fukushima caesium leaks 'equal 168 Hiroshimas' Japan's government estimates the amount of radioactive caesium-137 released by the Fukushima nuclear disaster so far is equal to that of 168 Hiroshima bombs. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/japan/8722400/Fukushima-caesium-leaks-equal-168-Hiroshimas.html

25 Aug 2011  "Government nuclear experts, however, said the World War II bomb blast and the accidental reactor meltdowns at Fukushima, which has seen ongoing radiation leaks but no deaths so far, were beyond comparison.

"The amount of caesium-137 released since the three reactors were crippled by the March 11 quake and tsunami has been estimated at 15,000 tera becquerels, the Tokyo Shimbun reported, quoting a government calculation.

"That compares with the 89 tera becquerels released by "Little Boy", the uranium bomb the United States dropped on the western Japanese city in the final days of World War II, the report said.

"The estimate was submitted by Prime Minister Naoto Kan's cabinet to a lower house committee on promotion of technology and innovation, the daily said.

ALTERNATIVE DATA
Matthew Penney Jul. 01, 2011. Japanese Cancer Expert on the Fukushima Situation
 http://japanfocus.org/events/view/100

"Japan's leading business journal Toyo Keizai has published an article by Hokkaido Cancer Center director Nishio Masamichi, a radiation treatment specialist. The piece, entitled “The Problem of Radiation Exposure Countermeasures for the Fukushima Nuclear Accident: Concerns for the Present Situation”, was published on June 27

1.Former Minister for Internal Affairs Haraguchi Kazuhiro has alleged that radiation monitoring station data was actually three decimal places greater than the numbers released to the public. If this is true, it constitutes a “national crime”, in Nishio’s words. He follows with, “Giving us the truth once is much more important than saying ‘hang in there Japan!’ a million times.”
ALTERNATIVE DATA

Fukushima Radiation 1,000 Times H-Bomb Peak
Dr Chris Busby Speaks with the Japanese People by Bob Nichols http://www.veteranstoday.com/2011/08/02/fukushima-radiation-1000-times-h-bomb-peak-2/

"Dr. Chris Busby, world famous physicist, said tests run at the respected Harwell Radiation Laboratory in England demonstrate the airborne radiation in Japan is 1,000 times higher than radioactive “fallout” at the peak in 1963 of H-Bomb detonations by the nuclear powers. The calculations were on radioactive Cesium 137...."

ALTERNATIVE DATA

JAPAN’S RADIATION DEFENSE NETWORK MAP OF RADIATION CONTAMINATION
http://www.radiationdefense.jp/investigation?lang=en


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